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Everything posted by Dan Gould
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Current map is offshore (close but not yet) at 7 pm Wed and 7 am Thursday over Orlando. So I have no idea who might be indicating 2 pm Wednesday landfall. 2 pm Wednesday Tropical Storm force winds maybe.
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And I haven't mentioned my buddy who skedaddled to their house in the NC mountains (somehow no damage there despite how western North Carolina has been described) but not before discovering that their insurance lapsed in March. They paid off the mortgage a few years ago so no escrow account, and insist they got neither a non-renewal notice, a renewal offer or a cancelation notice. They are surrounded by the bay
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People should actually read the Safir-Simpson scale and consider ... what is worse than 'catastrophic' damage? Got a better adjective? https://www.weather.gov/mfl/saffirsimpson They also incorporate rain predictions into flash flood warnings plus storm surge predictions. 125 as it nears the coast gives me a little hope our barn and apartment/garage structure will live on. The problem is that the due west end is a gable roof. My wife may have to convince her uncle and aunt to come to our house for the duration. Edit to add: The two story structure that the aunt and uncle live in is directly in front of (attached) to the one story wood frame/metal roof actual stalls for horses. So that is a strong wind buffer for direct effects where the horses will be. We've also screwed down - extra, extra screws - the metal slats into the frame. I actually feel better about where the horses will be than where the family members will be.
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Tampa Bay is in serious trouble period. Weakening makes wind field larger which widens the impact. I'd rather have lower sustained winds, period.
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The "good" news: As of 5 am max sustained winds predicted at 125, which are hairy, but not 150+. The undoubtedly bad news: The current track line is within <5 miles from my house.
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On the positive side our helper, Danny, got up on the metal roof over the horses and drilled in a box of screws into the wood frame and feels that the roof can't go anywhere. That of course presumes that the roof frame itself has no weak spots. Guess we will see!
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The All-Purpose Hurricane Thread
Dan Gould replied to Teasing the Korean's topic in Miscellaneous - Non-Political
I started a Milton-specific thread and frankly, given the expected impacts I think it deserves its own. -
Wednesday during the day. A colleague is in north Georgia and she was out a week for Helene, and mentioned how much she hated the storm hitting during the middle of the night when you can't tell anything about what is going on other than the roaring wind and rain. Helene did basically nothing to us being 25 miles or so inland, but two other colleagues live in Tampa and St Pete and close to the ocean. They are definitely going thru it twice in a row. We do have a generator, two of them. Once we get to the other side we can go a while without power as needed. I am just worried about what could happen when it hits. The track right now has the center about 20 miles (maybe) to our south. TTK is definitely at risk, hopefully he is battening down and perhaps getting the hell out of Dodge.
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There is no evacuating with six horses. The hoped-for saving grace is that the worst wind will come from the west and there is a two story building in front of the wooden/metal roof where the horses will be locked down.
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I'll tell you the truth: This thing is starting to scare the ever loving CRAP out of me, when I think of six horses plus two elderly family members living above the barn. I've helpfully put a little yellow mark approximately where we live.
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I do mind them and he is what we coined in college: a walking penis. Did we get the statcast "how many other parks that was a home run" in? Cause it seems like the Brewers park is something of a travesty like Houston and Philly. Their two in the 8th weren't cheapies but that struck me as one of those "a home run in two other parks" jobs.
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So do I ... But these albums are ... not good. An artifact of a moment in time (OK I think "Drownin on Dry Land" and maybe there is a "River's Invitation" in there that aren't horrible). If you want Junior Parker with Jimmy McGriff, find this (vinyl only): https://www.discogs.com/master/1063364-Jimmy-McGriff-Junior-Parker-Jimmy-McGriff-Junior-Parker Recorded in 1972 so after these recordings but none of those tunes in sight. It reminds me of how (as I understand it), Stanley Turrentine made his records the way the labels expected during the 70s and early-mid 80s, but his live performances were little different from what he did always in his career. Had to get that off my chest ... I don't know if I will post a breakdown of these tracks,, I am having a hard time finding a way in, aside from Track 1, so far.
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Astros down three with six outs to go. GoM might get his wish - Yankee kryptonite eliminated. (I say this only hoping to jinx it.)
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There is a limit to how much pimping can be done. Even if somehow pimped effectively a Yankees/Dodgers series would attract more eyeballs. Way more eyeballs.
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I told Thom my selections would wipe out the bad taste from yours but I know that is entirely in my imagination. 😁