We've got the same three teams who have the best chance at winning the title as last year. The Pistons, Spurs, and maybe the Heat. Whichever team is playing the best ball by the time the playoffs roll around will take it. The Mavs and Suns are pretenders, they won't get it done when push comes to shove.
I think the Pistons have looked the most like the best team this year, followed by the Spurs. The way Shaq looks lately, I have to think the Heat have a shot--but I have no confidence in their roster with losers like Williams and Walker on there. I'm betting on a Pistons/Spurs final with the Pistons avenging last year's loss and bringing the title back to Detroit.